Month: April 2020

Source: John Newell for Streetwise Reports   03/30/2020

Technical analyst John Newell looks back at the gold to silver ratio through history.

When we don’t understand the present, we can turn to the past. It is believed the natural ratio in the earth’s crust is ~10 ounces of silver for one ounce of gold.

Back in 3000 BC in Mesopotamia (modern day Turkey, Iraq, Iran), silver and gold were used to enable trade at a rate of 5 ounces of silver to 1 ounce of gold. For about 2,000 years, from 1670 B.C. to 432 AD, the rate was between a low of 9 to 1 in 59-44 BC to a high of 18 to 1 in 422 AD.

For the next 1,000 years from 527 to1453, the price was roughly 15 to 1. For the next three centuries the ratio was a low of 10.75 to 1 to a high of 15.52 to 1.

When the United States passed its first coinage law in 1792, the ratio was fixed at 15 to 1 but at that rate gold was considered undervalued and disappeared from circulation, so to correct the situation Congress moved the ratio to 16 to 1 in 1834.

At that rate gold was slightly overvalued and silver undervalued and silver coins began to disappear and were dropped from the list of coins by the Act of February 12, 1873, or the “Crisis of 1873,” and so thereafter the U.S. was on the Gold Standard, which became law in the Gold Act of March 14, 1900. (Hint: two 60 year cycles to today).

In 1919 the ratio was 15.20 to 1; by 1932 the ratio was up to 72.27 to 1 or about five times.

John Newell is a portfolio manager at Fieldhouse Capital Management and president and CEO of Golden Sky Minerals Corp. He has 38 years of experience in the investment industry acting as an officer, director, portfolio manager and investment advisor with some of the largest investment firms in Canada. Newell is a specialist in precious metal equities and related commodities and is a registered portfolio manager in Canada (advising representative).

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Source: James Kwantes for Streetwise Reports   03/30/2020

James Kwantes of Resource Opportunities profiles a company that is financed to drill the Griffon project this year in the southern Cortez Trend.

Nevada is known as “The Silver State,” a nod to the 1859 discovery of the Comstock Lode. That rich silver endowment led to Nevada’s statehood, and profits from silver mining helped the North come out on top in the American Civil War.

But the discovery of the state’s rich gold districts, including the Carlin and Cortez trends, a century later quickly made Nevada one of the world’s premier gold mining jurisdictions. Those two districts alone have a combined gold endowment of more than 250 million ounces (production + reserves). And gold is the precious metal that remains Nevada’s largest export by dollar value.

However, U.S. Census Bureau statistics show that Nevada’s gold output is slipping. Gold exports of about $4.9 billion in 2018 dropped to $2.7 billion last year, a 45% decrease.

And Nevada is not the only gold-rich jurisdiction with a declining production profile. New discoveries are needed to replace the ounces being mined. And one of the best places to look for gold is on projects that have been orphaned by larger companies or by exploration companies that have shifted their focus elsewhere.

The latter is the story with the past-producing Griffon project at the southern end of Nevada’s Cortez trend. Fremont Gold Ltd. (FRE:TSX.V; USTDF:OTCBB) purchased Griffon and its 89 unpatented mining claims from Liberty Gold (LGD-T) in December 2019, then raised $1.48 million to drill it. The project was orphaned in Liberty (formerly Pilot Gold), which is drilling out its Black Pine oxide gold project in Idaho. Griffon is southeast of Fiore Gold’s (F-V) Pan mine and Contact Gold’s (C-V) past-producing Green Springs heap-leach gold mine.

Fremont plans to drill 2,000 meters at Griffon, beginning in June. Twenty-six drill sites are currently permitted and the project is bonded. Fremont plans to drill a number of untested targets in the hopes of making a new discovery at Griffon.

Griffon was first drilled in 1988. By 1997 two oxide gold deposits had been delineated, at Discovery Ridge and Hammer Ridge. Over the next three years, Alta operated as a small producer, mining oxide gold from those deposits at average grades of 1.03 g/t in a heap-leach operation. That’s well above average grades of 0.6 to 0.7 g/t being heap-leach mined at typical Nevada oxide gold operations.

Alta’s focus was production, not exploration. The company did not thoroughly explore the property and almost all of the holes they drilled were less than 100 meters deep. Fremont has assembled a crack team of geologists to narrow down targets at Griffon:

• Clay Newton, Fremont’s VP Exploration and a Ph.D. structural geologist who brings fresh eyes to the project;
• Andy Wallace, Ph.D., a Carlin expert and co-discoverer of five Nevada gold mines as a principal of Cordex;
• Jamie Robertson, Ph.D., Alta’s former exploration manager and a regional expert on Nevada’s southern Cortez trend.

Clay Newton, Fremont Gold’s VP Exploration, checks out a jasperoid outcrop, an alteration type associated with Carlin gold mineralization, at Fremont’s Griffon property in Nevada’s Cortez Trend.

Target areas at Griffon include the untested three-kilometer long Blackrock fault to the east of the Hammer Ridge deposit (one of the two deposits mined by Alta Gold Corp.), the Pilot Shale horizon, and a number of geochemical anomalies. In addition, potential remains in and around the two past producing open pits.

Drilling by Alta in an area southwest of Hammer Ridge hints at the property’s potential. Alta hit near-surface gold mineralization in many holes, including 57.9 meters of 0.86 g/t gold. Other drill holes in this area—all of them within 100 meters of surface—included:

• 25.9 meters of 1.1 g/t
• 36.6m of 0.93 g/t
• 24.4m of 0.79 g/t

Last summer, Fremont sold its Gold Canyon project to McEwen Mining for 300,000 McEwen common shares in order to focus on securing more advanced-stage assets. The company’s first move was to option Cobb Creek from Contact Gold. Located in Elko County, Nevada, Cobb Creek is an advanced project with a historical gold resource that hasn’t been drilled since 1992. Although Cobb is an intriguing exploration project, Fremont plans to focus on Griffon this exploration season. The company also has the North Carlin, Hurricane and Goldrun projects in Nevada.

Gold is holding steady around US$1,650 an ounce and doing its job as a safe haven. The precious metal is also, increasingly, a buttress against the impending waves of money-printing as governments globally respond to economic paralysis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.

Gold producers continue to rely on exploration companies to find the next economic ore bodies. That increases the appeal of well-managed juniors poised to create shareholder value with the drill. Fremont Gold fits the bill as it prepares to drill for discovery at Griffon. Insiders have been adding to their stakes, in both the public market and private placements. I have also been buying shares at these price levels.

Fremont Gold (FRE:TSX.V; USTDF:OTCBB)
Price: CA$0.06
Shares out: 81.5 million (121.2M f-d)
Market cap: $4.9 million

James Kwantes is the editor of Resource Opportunities, a subscriber supported junior mining investment publication. Kwantes has two decades of journalism experience and was the mining reporter at Vancouver Sun, the city’s paper of record.

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Disclosure: I own Fremont Gold shares and Fremont is one of three Resource Opportunities sponsor companies. Fremont Gold is a speculative, high-risk exploration stock that may not be suitable for all investors. This article is not intended as financial advice and all investors should conduct their own due diligence and/or consult an investment advisor.

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2) The following companies mentioned in this article are billboard sponsors of Streetwise Reports: Liberty Gold. Click here for important disclosures about sponsor fees. The information provided above is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
3) Statements and opinions expressed are the opinions of the author and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers. The author is wholly responsible for the validity of the statements. The author was not paid by Streetwise Reports for this article. Streetwise Reports was not paid by the author to publish or syndicate this article. Streetwise Reports requires contributing authors to disclose any shareholdings in, or economic relationships with, companies that they write about. Streetwise Reports relies upon the authors to accurately provide this information and Streetwise Reports has no means of verifying its accuracy.
4) The article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports’ terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports.
5) From time to time, Streetwise Reports LLC and its directors, officers, employees or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles and interviews on the site, may have a long or short position in securities mentioned. Directors, officers, employees or members of their immediate families are prohibited from making purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise from the time of the interview or the decision to write an article until three business days after the publication of the interview or article. The foregoing prohibition does not apply to articles that in substance only restate previously published company releases. As of the date of this interview, officers and/or employees of Streetwise Reports LLC (including members of their household) own securities of Liberty Gold, a company mentioned in this article.

Resource Opportunities Disclaimer: Readers are advised that this article is solely for information purposes. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research and due diligence, and/or obtain professional advice. The information is based on sources which the publisher believes to be reliable, but is not guaranteed to be accurate, and does not purport to be a complete statement or summary of the available data.

( Companies Mentioned: FRE:TSX.V; USTDF:OTCBB,
)

Source: Maurice Jackson for Streetwise Reports   03/30/2020

In discussion with Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable, the Mercenary Geologist offers his take on the coronavirus pandemic, its impacts on economic policy and what he’s buying (or not buying) right now.

Maurice: Today we will find out if we are at risk of losing our liberty to the coronavirus, along with buying opportunities for your investment portfolio. Joining us for a conversation is Mickey Fulp, the world-renowned Mercenary Geologist.

Absolute delight to speak with you sir. Mickey, you are the Mercenary Geologist, but you’re equally regarded highly for your views on philosophy and politics, and every time we speak my neurons expand. You and I have shared concerns regarding the erosion of liberty as the federal government and municipalities have been perniciously increasing their influence over the years, and in particular in the response to the coronavirus. Sir, what concerns should we have regarding our liberties that many people are not considering due to the government’s response to the coronavirus?

Mickey: Well, I think it really comes from state and local governments now, and rightly so. The state and local governments are responsible ultimately, not the federal government, for instituting policies regarding what I prefer to call the Wuhan flu, but they are increasingly infringing on our basic freedoms as expounded in the Bill of Rights to assemble peacefully, to move about freely, the separation of church and state. You have governments outlawing people’s right to congregate and practice their religion, confiscate property without due process.

California now has emergency regulations that allow them to commandeer private property to set up emergency hospitals, and now there are number of euphemisms such as, social distancing, self-isolation, shelter in place. I thought that’s what your snowflake generation did when they went to their parents’ basement as a safe space. Quarantines, curfews, checkpoints, lockdowns, containment zones. . .what I fear is this will progress to some euphemism for martial law.

Maurice: Truly, truly concerning. Let’s discuss the economic policy response. Are you as surprised on how much emphasis the Fed and Congress has placed on the economy rather than on providing supplies toward the hospitals and the true heroes, who are the healthcare workers making so many selfless sacrifices?

Mickey: I think this is a media- [and] government-created economic recession in response to a medical event. There’s a saying—never let a good crisis go to waste—and the media and the government have instilled first fear, then panic, then irrationality, now approaching hysteria. That’s not to belittle the impact of the Wuhan flu, but let’s just step back and put this in perspective. So far, I think as of Friday afternoon, March 27, there are approximately 95,000 confirmed cases in the U.S. and around 1,300 deaths, so do the math.

That’s about 1.4%, but that’s from the number of people that tested positive. That does not imply the number of people that have had the virus with no symptoms or mild symptoms; these are the people that are extremely ill to begin with. Here’s some perspective, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), as of March 21, for the 2019–2020 flu season so far, 39 million cases, 400,000 hospitalizations and 24,000 deaths.

I’m a bit of a numbers wonk, and let’s just do a little thought experiment. We have 95,000 cases, but those are people that are ill enough to get tested. Let’s just suppose that those 95,000 cases are even upward of 10x that, with people walking around not even know they have it. They’ve got a cold, because it is a virus very similar to the common cold. If we assume that 10 times that number actually have been exposed and have antibodies to the virus, then that’s 950,000 cases right there.

Then let’s go back and do the math on that. That gives us a mortality rate of about 0.1%, which is just about the average of the common flu season that kills on average 36,000 Americans every year.

Maurice: Now, that’s truly unfortunate for the victims and the families. But, as you stated, if cooler heads prevail and you put it into perspective—because the opposite response from all the mainstream media is hysteria—I believe we should be proactive in trying to prevent the spread of the disease. But you stated it correctly: “Never let a good crisis go to waste.”

Mickey: I’m going to say something fairly radical in today’s environment. When it’s all said and done, I think that this is going to be a serious illness, a serious flu. I think we will develop a vaccine for it quicker than usual. In retrospect, we will look back at this and say, well, was it as bad as the swine flu in 2009–2010? Was it as bad as 86,000 people, if memory serves, killed during that flu season? What’s the ultimate outcome? That remains to be seen, but that’s my position right now, and I’m sticking to it.

Maurice: Let’s focus back on the economic response here. Our currency is being inflated at an unprecedented rate in the past couple of weeks. What are your thoughts on the economic policy response and the potential ramifications?

Mickey: Simply put, I think if the government—and I include the Federal Reserve as the fourth branch of the United States of America’s government—creates $6 trillion on a keyboard to fend off economic recession/depression, which is defined as deflation, then an inflating U.S. dollar must be the result.

Maurice: What ramifications do you foresee on globally on supply and demand of goods and services?

Mickey: We have severe demand destruction. Look at the oil business right now. We have an oil price somewhere between $20 and $25 [per barrel]. It’s about $22 as we speak, and that’s because of demand destruction. We’re producing, on average, 20 million barrels of oil worldwide more than demand, and are simply awash in oil. Carry that on out, and we will be, until supply goes away because of low prices. This demand destruction is going to lead to oversupply and falling prices.

Maurice: That will lead to some buying opportunities, potentially, that we’ll get to later on in this conversation. Let me ask you this, is government rewarding bad behavior and if so, how?

Mickey: Well, you can argue that. Let’s look at this $2 trillion stimulus package, which includes $75 million for the National Endowment for the Arts; $75 million for the Corporation for Progressive Broadcasting—what I like to refer to it as; $25 million for the Kennedy Center after it was remodeled a couple of years ago at a price of $250 million, so lots of waste there.

Going on with that thought, that bill is rewarding bad behavior because it’s giving $1,200 to every American that earns less than a $100,000 a year. Just going to write them a check or probably deposit in your bank account—I don’t think they write checks anymore for those sorts of things. This has severely affected a portion of people in this country because they’ve never saved.

In addition to a usual state where you’re able to collect unemployment for a period of six months, some portion of that, they’ve extended unemployment benefits at 100% for another four months. In New Mexico—and I’m not sure if other states or not—you don’t even have to look for a job during that period of time. The idea that people who do not accumulate nest-eggs, who are deeply in debt, who live hand-to-mouth, from paycheck to paycheck, they’re certainly going to be adversely affected.

But here comes Uncle Sam, with all these reasons not to work. So someone gets unemployment for six months and they’ve got another four months of unemployment. If they’re minimum wage, what incentive do they have to go back to work?

Maurice: Which leads to my next question, once citizens receive their first stimulus payments for not working, what are the chances of more checks and increased amounts on the horizon by the government?

Mickey: Well, I think everybody has already said in government that this is a start—this $2 trillion plus the $4 trillion the Feds created on a keyboard. There’ll be another bailout package, or there’ll be another stimulus package, or whatever euphemism they choose to call it. It’s not good. The ultimate result of this is we’ll default on our debt once again; we’ve done that twice since 1930.

Maurice: Somewhat counterproductive. You correct me if I’m wrong: If you inflate your currency, the result is higher prices. Well, why are so many people, especially those that advocate for a minimum wage increase, stating that the cost of living is so high, right? There’s your culprit. It’s the Federal Reserve. It’s expansion of our currency.

Mickey: Absolutely.

Maurice: They look at the short term as, I want this paycheck. And now multitrillion-dollar question: Who is going to pay for this; when and how?

Mickey: We ultimately do, as citizens of the United States of America. And I’ve already said this: It’s going to result in a default on the debt, and demise of not only the US dollar—the world’s reserve currency, as this is happening all over the world—ultimately, it will result in a demise of all the world’s fiat currencies, and that’s the natural order of things. Every fiat currency since the Roman Empire, and perhaps longer than that, has inflated itself and resulted in default. I just can’t tell you when that’s going to happen.

Maurice: If you, Mickey Fulp, were a member of Congress, what would you recommend as an appropriate economic response?

Mickey: Well, I’m going to call that an inappropriate question because I consider myself an honest and forthright man.

Maurice: I think we can read between the lines on what the response would be, and I would echo that I second that emotion, sir.

Mickey: I think there are a couple of honest politicians: Dr. Ron Paul, when he served in the U.S. Congress and his son, Dr. Rand Paul. Those are honest, forthright men that I admire.

Maurice: Mickey, who is ultimately responsible for the decline and degradation of the United States?

Mickey: It’s the politicians that we, the people, voted in. But most importantly, I think it’s the Deep State bureaucrats who actually run the government. They are entrenched in jobs for their entire careers, and they answer to no one except the ephemeral bosses that are appointed by one set of politicians or the other that we have elected.

Maurice: Switching gears, do you have any buying opportunities at the moment that you would like to share with us?

Mickey: I think it’s not too late to buy gold. That’s assuming you can find someone who is selling gold and delivering it promptly, and that’s a problem right now.

Maurice: Besides gold, are there any other precious metals that would peak your interest at this time or just gold?

Mickey: Just gold for me.

Maurice: Mickey, how does owning physical precious metals fit into today’s discussion?

Mickey: Maurice, I think it’s the key ingredient in any recipe to ensure financial security for you and yours.

Maurice: May I ask what are you buying and why?

Mickey: I’m not buying anything this week because gold is up $140 bucks, and it’s even more than that, with really huge premiums coming in at this point because of its physical scarcity.

Maurice: Just to caveat to what you’re sharing, I had a discussion with Bob Moriarty of 321gold recently. I think he stated: “Anyone who does not own gold is financially ignorant.”

Mickey: I would agree with that take, and specifically gold, because gold is the only real money.

Maurice: In closing, sir, what keeps you up at night that we don’t know about?

Mickey: Right now, I would say it’s the next good novel I’m reading about yet another dystopian society.

Maurice: All right, Mr. Fulp, last question: What did I forget to ask?

Mickey: My website and my Twitter feed: www.mercenarygeologist.com; and my Twitter feed is @mercenarygeo.

Maurice: Before you make your next bullion purchase, be sure you call me. I mean licensed representative for Miles Franklin Precious Metals Investments, where we provide a number of options to expand your precious metals portfolio from physical delivery, offshore depositories, precious metal IRAs and private blockchain distributed ledger technology.

Call me directly at (855) 505-1900, or you may e-mail maurice@milesfranklin.com. Last but not least, please subscribe to www.provenandprobable.com for mining insights and bullion sales.

Mickey Fulp, the Mercenary Geologist, thank you for joining us today on Proven and Probable.

Maurice Jackson is the founder of Proven and Probable, a site that aims to enrich its subscribers through education in precious metals and junior mining companies that will enrich the world.

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Disclosure:
1) Statements and opinions expressed are the opinions of Maurice Jackson and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers. Maurice Jackson is wholly responsible for the validity of the statements. Streetwise Reports was not involved in any aspect of the article preparation. Maurice Jackson was not paid by Streetwise Reports LLC for this article. Streetwise Reports was not paid by the author to publish or syndicate this article.
2) This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports’ terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports.
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