Categories
Gold

Who will fund $24 trillion in new government?

National Review/Brien Reidl/7-28-2020

“The unlikelihood of a quick economic recovery and the additional relief legislation sure to come out of Congress should together push the deficit to roughly $4 trillion in 2020 and ensure that it averages $2 trillion annually over the rest of the decade. As a result, the national debt held by the public — $17 trillion earlier this year — is projected to reach a staggering $41 trillion by 2030, even before accounting for any additional pandemic-relief measures or the expensive proposals that Democrats are salivating to enact if they sweep the White House and Congress this November.”

USAGOLD note:  When you find yourself in a very deep hole in the new normal, the only option is to keep digging … … until the walls collapse.  The answer to the question posed above?  The Federal Reserve, of course.  It has already, according to Reidl, “monetized more than half of the new pandemic-related debt.”  With the rest of the world worried about financing its own debt, the options are likely to be limited and that, when all is said and done, is perhaps the most basic reason why gold has behaved as it has since March of this year.

cartoon showing giant sinkhole labeled the national debt

Cartoon courtesy of MichaelPRamirez.com

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Gold

Revisiting the white swans of 2020

Project Syndicate/Noriel Roubini/7-20-2020

Graphic image of Humpty Dumpty perched happily on a wall, antique“Alternatively, with so much uncertainty, risk aversion and deleveraging on the part of corporations, households, and even entire countries could result in a more anemic U-shaped recovery over time. But if the recent surge of COVID-19 cases in the United States and other countries is not controlled, and if a second wave occurs this fall and winter before a safe and effective vaccine is discovered, the economy would likely experience a W-shaped double-dip recession. And with such deep fragilities in the global economy, one cannot rule out an L-shaped Greater Depression by the middle of the decade.”

USAGOLD note:  Noriel Roubini is a great black bear watching over a flock of white swans …… of which a few have already landed. “Why,” he asks, “are financial markets blissfully ignoring these risks?”

Categories
Gold

Silver: poor man’s gold no more? – MarketWatch

  1. Silver: poor man’s gold no more?  MarketWatch
  2. Scorecard: gold is not the real winner – how other metals ranked this year  Kitco NEWS
  3. – Where Does the Price of Gold Go From Here?  United States Gold Bureau
  4. Gold prices today fall for first time in 10 days, silver plunges ₹1,500  Livemint
  5. COVID-19 Uncertainty Spurring Record Prices For Gold, Silver  CBS Minnesota
  6. View Full Coverage on Google News
Categories
Gold

Gold, silver see routine downside corrections Thursday – Kitco NEWS

Gold, silver see routine downside corrections Thursday  Kitco NEWS
Categories
Gold

Gold; short term weakness, long term strength – Kitco NEWS

Gold; short term weakness, long term strength  Kitco NEWS
Categories
Gold

Gold price is looking at making new highs: Commerzbank – Kitco NEWS

Gold price is looking at making new highs: Commerzbank  Kitco NEWS
Categories
Gold

Gold price largely ignores worst U.S. GDP contraction on record – Kitco NEWS

Gold price largely ignores worst U.S. GDP contraction on record  Kitco NEWS
Categories
Gold

Navigating Cynical Politics and Rigged Markets to Investment Profits

It’s a cliché that gets repeated every four years: This is the most important election of our lifetime!

Perhaps this one, a national referendum on the presidency of Donald J. Trump, will prove to be so. What we can say with more certainty is that this will be the most cynical election of our lifetime.

Republicans vs Democrats

American politics and the mainstream media’s coverage of it have descended into non-stop tribal spitefulness and vindictiveness. No longer is there any pretense that elections are about what’s best for the country as a whole.

What’s bad for the country is often good for politicians, and they can be counted on to do whatever is politically expedient for them.

This election will be about which sets of Americans get rewarded and which get punished. In the aftermath, reckless spending commitments will continue to drive record budget deficits and threaten to destroy the credibility of the U.S. dollar.

Since no political party has shown itself willing to practice spending restraint, it is difficult to imagine any electoral scenario that would fundamentally alter the country’s current fiscal path.

With a national debt of over $26.5 trillion and skyrocketing coupled with a GDP that has contracted sharply due to coronavirus lockdowns, both Republicans and Democrats know there is only one end-game. They will enlist the Federal Reserve to print currency in unlimited quantities.

The supposedly “independent” monetary policymaking body has embarked on a campaign to buy up everything from U.S. Treasuries to junk bonds at the demand of politicians and bankers. Meanwhile, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell cynically tells the public the central bank is merely fulfilling its dual mandate of “full employment and stable prices.”

We all know his real “mandate” is to lift asset prices and bail out his financial and political masters.

The Fed’s trillions now determine the fate of markets and the economy. But former Vice President Joe Biden apparently thinks central bankers aren’t doing enough to centrally plan outcomes.

US Federal Reserve System

According to the U.S. Census Bureau, the largest “racial gap” in median household income in 2018 was between Asian-Americans ($87,243) and African-Americans ($41,511). Biden would apparently task the Fed with somehow suppressing Asian incomes and/or directing race-based monetary stimulus to blacks.

“Biden will work with Congress to amend the Federal Reserve Act to require the Fed to regularly report on current data and trends in racial economic gaps – and what actions the Fed is taking through its monetary and regulatory policies to close these gaps,” according to a handler for the presumptive Democrat nominee.

Biden has also been pushed by the AOC wing of the Democratic party to embrace the Green New Deal. Under his “clean energy” and “environmental justice” plans, the government would spend $2 trillion over four years.

For his part, President Trump is backing the GOP Senate’s new $1 trillion COVID-19 relief bill and is vowing to boost military and infrastructure spending if re-elected.

So determined are some in the media to help defeat Trump that they are demanding more economic lockdowns while at the same time cheering on often violent (and never socially distanced) anti-police protests. It doesn’t get more cynical than that.

Regardless of what you may have thought of Barack Obama and his policies, there’s no denying that he had built up some genuine enthusiasm for his “hope and change” campaign of 2008. At that time, millions of Americans believed in the possibility of electing a charismatic unifier.

Nobody in 2020 is inspired by Joe Biden. Even his supporters admit he is just an instrument to get rid of Trump.

The young radicals who are burning down buildings and tearing down statues don’t care about Joe Biden’s decades in politics.

The fact that Biden would be 82 years-old by the end of his first term and appears to no longer be at the top of his game mentally is fine with them, though. That means his more “woke” aids and his “diverse” Vice President will be mostly running the show.

Yes, they really are that cynical.

In these tumultuous and politically fraught times, investors need to avoid becoming jaded themselves.

Up until this summer, the precious metals markets left many longtime investors feeling frustrated, even defeated. But those who threw in the towel because they believed gold and silver prices would continue to be suppressed at every turn missed out on gold’s recent rally to a new record highs – and silver’s biggest price surge since 2011.

Cynics can justifiably point to rigged markets and a corrupt monetary system that makes investing based on fundamentals alone impossible.

But opportunists know that artificially suppressed markets represent hidden value – and that under our inflationary monetary system, prices of precious metals will inevitably rise over time in terms of depreciating Federal Reserve Note dollars.

       
Categories
Gold

Analyst: A High-Grade Copper Prospect Beside a Giant

Source: James Kwantes for Streetwise Reports   07/29/2020

James Kwantes of Resource Opportunities outlines the investment thesis behind GSP Resource Corp., which is exploring prospects in British Columbia adjacent to the working Highland Valley Copper Mine.

Dwight Eisenhower was in the Oval Office and America was still on the gold standard when British Columbia prospector Dick Billingsley first staked mining claims. Then 14, Billingsley pounded in wood stakes north of Rossland in British Columbia’s West Kootenays on behalf of an uncle who worked in the mining industry and speculated on claims on the side. That uncle worked for the Consolidated Mining and Smelting Company of Canada—otherwise known as Cominco, which merged with Teck Resources Ltd. (TCK:TSX; TCK:NYSE) in 2001.

Billingsley has been staking claims ever since. In the process, the 78-year-old Surrey resident has become one of the largest individual claims holders in B.C., with about 120,000 hectares of ground under his control.

Cycles have come and gone, and there have been some big wins. One of them was Tatogga, the property Billingsley and his wife and business partner Gaye Richards vended to GT Gold Corp. (GTT:TSX.V). GT discovered a gold-rich copper porphyry at Saddle North and a high-grade gold discovery at Saddle South, attracting a strategic investment from Newmont Corp. (NEM:NYSE) and hitting a $250-million valuation along the way.

The veteran prospector made the transition from midnight staker to keyboard claims when the province switched to digital claim staking in 2004. But he can still be found bouncing around B.C.’s backroads in his one-ton Ford 350 pickup truck, snowshoes and other supplies on hand in case of emergencies. Different times call for different strategies, however.

“When you want to stake claims you don’t do it during the day, you do it between 2 and 4 a.m.—before 7 a.m. Eastern time,” Billingsley says with a smile. “At 7 the guys back East are getting up, having their coffee and turning their computers on.”

One of Billingsley’s claims packages is the Alwin property, which he optioned to GSP Resource Corp. (GSPR:TSX.V) earlier this year for staged cash and share payments. That made Billingsley one of GSP’s largest shareholders, and he has since added to his stake both in the public market and in financings, bringing him to just under 10% of outstanding shares.


Dick Billingsley

The Alwin property, which hosts a past-producing underground copper mine, is adjacent to Teck’s Highland Valley Copper (HVC) open-pit mine, 17 kilometers west of Logan Lake. Billingsley, to the right at Alwin’s “Copper Rainfall” showing, is excited about the potential of identifying more high-grade mineralization at Alwin. The mine was in operation at different times, producing a total of about 235,000 tonnes grading 1.54% copper.

Identifying further high-grade copper mineralization is also the mission of Simon Dyakowski, GSP Resource Corp.’s young CEO. Dyakowski is a CFA charterholder and former broker who grew up in the business—his geologist father, Chris Dyakowski, is GSP’s chairman and a director.

And family ties figure in the story of how Simon secured the Alwin property for GSP. His father Chris ran San Marco Resources Inc. (SMN:TSX.V) while San Marco explored Alwin between 2005 and 2008. San Marco drilled five shallow holes into the main mineralized trend near the eastern part of the mine workings, and three more holes that tested IP (induced polarization) anomalies north and northwest of the mine.

Results were mixed, and all the data is on the GSP website. The first three holes returned sniffs of shallow higher-grade mineralization, including 3.3 meters (3.3m) of 2.37% copper (Cu) and 0.5m of 8.45% Cu. Hole 4 hit 13.5m of 1.86% Cu from 117m downhole, including 0.9m of 4.1% Cu and 3m of 6.2% Cu. Removing those high-grade sub-intercepts still leaves a residual grade of 9.6 meters of 0.29% copper, slightly higher than the head grade at Teck’s HVC. Hole 4 ended prematurely in an old unmapped drift.

San Marco moved onto other projects and the Alwin claims were picked up by Billingsley. CEO Dyakowski believes GSP is well positioned to tag shallow high-grade mineralization, the target of the initial drill program (permitting is well underway). One of the tools at GSP’s disposal is a new 3D digital model of the Alwin mine compiled by Renaissance Geoscience Services and released last week. The 3D model—assembled using historical drilling, mining and geological data from prior operators—will help GSP target shallow unmined material in two zones north of the historical Alwin mine.

GSP’s objectives are twofold: 1) explore the prospects of an open-pit mining scenario by targeting higher-grade mineralization around the #4 zone; and 2) target lower-grade porphyry-style mineralization to the north. For phase 1, GSP plans to drill two deeper (200-meter) holes into the #4 zone as well as a 600- to 800-meter hole farther north into the porphyry target.

HVC is the largest open-pit copper-molybdenum mine in western Canada. In 2019, the operation produced 121,000 tonnes of copper at grades of about 0.27%, generating $196 million in gross profit for Teck. The Vancouver-based producer is mining increasingly lower grades at HVC and the mine was originally scheduled to close in 2028. However, Teck recently applied to extend the mine life to 2040.

On its website, GSP has a great satellite image of the Alwin/Highland Valley neighborhood in 2004 and 2015, with a sliding bar to make comparisons more easily. Two differences are immediately noticeable: 1) the amount of logging that has occurred on the Alwin property since 2004; and 2) the extent to which Teck is moving westward toward the Alwin property. If GSP can prove up a near-surface high-grade copper deposit and/or the existence of a copper porphyry system at Alwin, it becomes a pretty compelling target for Teck. However, there are other possible outcomes for Alwin that don’t rely on a Teck takeout—two nearby mills, Craigmont and Afton, have spare capacity.

Alwin has a 270-meter below-surface development decline and about 2,700 meters of underground tunneling, as well as 649 diamond drill holes totaling 34,500 meters. One of the prior operators calculated a historical (non-NI-43-101-compliant) resource around the mine workings of 390,000 tonnes grading an average 2.5% copper, assuming 25% dilution. But the mine shut down due to low copper prices before they could tap into that zone.


GSP CEO Simon Dyakowski

GSP’s low all-in drilling costs of $175/meter mean the company is poised to expand the drilling if they are successful during the first phase. CEO Dyakowski, pictured, owns more than 12% of shares, accumulating in each financing round and the open market. Insiders hold a total of about 35% of shares. GSP is well structured, with only 14.7 million shares outstanding and a free trading float of about 6 million shares when you take out insider holdings and escrowed stock.

As for Billingsley, he thinks Alwin ore could make a great high-grade feedstock to mix with the lower-grade ore that Teck is mining at HVC. That would increase the operation’s profitability ahead of a mine life extension at one of Teck’s core assets.

“Alwin could be my next big score,” Billingsley says.

GSP Resource Corp. (GSPR:TSX.V)
Price: 0.35/share
Shares out: 14.7 million (18.7 million f-d)
Market cap: $5.15 million

James Kwantes is the editor of Resource Opportunities, a subscriber supported junior mining investment publication. Kwantes has two decades of journalism experience and was the mining reporter at Vancouver Sun, the city’s paper of record.

Sign up for our FREE newsletter at: www.streetwisereports.com/get-news

Disclosure: James Kwantes owns GSP Resource Corp. shares and warrants and GSP is one of three Resource Opportunities sponsor companies. This article is presented for information purposes and does not constitute investment advice. All investors need to do their own due diligence and/or consult a financial advisor.

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Resource Opportunities Disclaimer: Readers are advised that this article is solely for information purposes. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research and due diligence, and/or obtain professional advice. The information is based on sources which the publisher believes to be reliable, but is not guaranteed to be accurate, and does not purport to be a complete statement or summary of the available data.

( Companies Mentioned: GSPR:TSX.V,
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Categories
Gold

Peter Schiff: The Dollar Is Not Just Going Down; It’s Going to Crash

As gold was closing in on its all-time record price last week, Peter Schiff appeared on the Claman Countdown and warned about the looming dollar crisis. Claman set up the interview pointing out that Peter predicted this big move up in gold months ago and asked, “What’s your new prediction about the dollar?” Peter said […]