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Gold

U.S. Treaury market to be under intense scrutiny in Biden administration

Reuters Opinion/Matt Scuffman/12-16-2020

antique print image of Machiavelli“The functioning of the $20 trillion U.S. Treasury market is set to come under intense scrutiny by President-elect Joe Biden’s regulators, after seizing-up amid rising pandemic fears in March and threatening the stability of the broader financial system.”

USAGOLD note:  At the time of the first signs of trouble back in March, we were told that the markets had a liquidity problem – a sniffle that needn’t be addressed with ordinary caution and care. Later, we found out the financial system was once again in the throes of a crisis – a $1.6 trillion crisis according to this report …… and apparently a crisis that has not simply gone away. Now, the Biden administration is going to investigate what happened and decide upon what new measures, if any, need to be introduced. Never let a good crisis go to waste, as Machiavelli (image left) instructed us – even if nearly a year after the fact.

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Gold

Bond market braces for possible return of long dormant foe – inflation

Financial Times/Tommy Stubbington and Colby Smith/12-15-2020

Uncle Sam poster with quote bubble saying 'I need vast sums of money!'“A rebound in inflation, which has been elusive since the 2008 financial crisis, could disrupt these widely held expectations by making the debt market look less attractive. Bonds typically provide investors with a fixed stream of interest payments, which become less valuable as the overall cost of goods and services accelerates.”

USAGOLD note:  JP Morgan Chase’s Jamie Dimon recently said that he wouldn’t touch Treasury’s with a ten-foot pole – perhaps an indication that he too sees inflation coming down the road. The problem from a monetary policy perspective is that reluctance to buy evolves to encouragement to sell and we have another “liquidity problem” like we experienced earlier this year. Ultimately, it comes down to financing the huge federal government deficits and how that would be accomplished if buyers of Treasuries were to become sellers – something that might already be underway as it is.

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World Gold Council reports ETF reversal in November, but still record year

World Gold Council/Gold Hu

“In November, gold-backed ETFs and similar products (gold ETFs) recorded their first net outflows in twelve months and second largest monthly outflows ever. Gold ETF holdings decreased by 107 tonnes (t) during the month – US$6.8bn or 2.9% of assets under management (AUM) – as the gold price had its worst monthly move (-6.3%, US$1,763/oz) since November 2016, when it dipped 7.4%.”

USAGOLD note:  We were due for a turnaround at some point. That said, the 916 metric tonne net gain thus far this year is still the largest on record and 50% higher than the previous highpoint in 2009 (646 metric tonnes).

ETF Stockpile Flows by Region
(2020)

ETF stockpile flow 2020

chart color code ETF stockpile flows f=by regionChart courtesy of World Gold Council • • • Click to enlarge


Repost from 12-11-2020

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Gold

Zambia to purchase local gold production to shore up foreign-exchange reserves

Bloomberg/Taonga Clifford Mitimingi

photograph of stack of unmarked 100 ounce gold bars“Zambia, which last month became Africa’s first pandemic-era default, plans to hold gold for the first time since 1995 to bolster foreign-exchange reserves that have dwindled near record lows.”

USAGOLD note:  The gold production is a byproduct of operations at the Kanshani copper mine operated by First Quantum Minerals. The country will pay market prices in local currency. Though minor (about 145,000 ounces produced in 2019), Zambia joins a growing list of countries that have decided to keep production at home rather than sell it on the open market.


Repost from 12-14-2020

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Gold

Gold rallies to a near 6-week high, but ends below the key $1,900 mark – MarketWatch

  1. Gold rallies to a near 6-week high, but ends below the key $1,900 mark  MarketWatch
  2. Gold climbs 1.5% on U.S. stimulus bets, dipping dollar  CNBC
  3. Gold Price Forecast – Gold Markets Testing 50 EMA  FX Empire
  4. Gold climbs over 1% on U.S. stimulus bets, dipping dollar  Yahoo Finance
  5. Gold price tops $1900 to six-week high on dollar slide, stimulus progress (Commodity:XAUUSD:CUR)  Seeking Alpha
  6. View Full Coverage on Google News
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Gold

Gold Price Forecast – Gold Markets Reaching Towards Major Figure – FX Empire

Gold Price Forecast – Gold Markets Reaching Towards Major Figure  FX Empire
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Gold

‘Convincing move higher’ in gold: TD Securities looks for $2000+ gold price next year – Kitco NEWS

‘Convincing move higher’ in gold: TD Securities looks for $2000+ gold price next year  Kitco NEWS
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Gold

Gold, silver bulls hit the accelerator, restart price uptrends – Kitco NEWS

Gold, silver bulls hit the accelerator, restart price uptrends  Kitco NEWS
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Gold

ABN AMRO says gold price can push to $2100 next year but rally is not without risks – Kitco NEWS

ABN AMRO says gold price can push to $2100 next year but rally is not without risks  Kitco NEWS