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This was all predicted 10 years ago (by Peter Turchin)

Mauldin Economics/John Mauldin/11-30-2020

graphic image showing cycles of the moon with question "Why diversify"

“Very long ‘secular cycles’ interact with shorter-term processes. In the United States, 50-year instability spikes occurred around 1870, 1920 and 1970, so another could be due around 2020.  We are also entering a dip in the so-called Kondratiev wave, which traces 40- to 60-year economic-growth cycles. This could mean that future recessions will be severe.  In addition, the next decade will see a rapid growth in the number of people in their 20s, like the youth bulge that accompanied the turbulence of the 1960s and 1970s. All these cycles look set to peak in the years around 2020.” – Historian Peter Turchin, Nature magazine, February 2010

USAGOLD note:  Mauldin hits on themes we have emphasized here at our live daily newsletter in recent weeks including the latest from Peter Turchin (as published in a recent Atlantic Monthly profile) and a mention of Neil Howe’s Fourth Turning (which we featured in the December issue of News & Views). In the recent past, Mauldin has raised the possibility of an “unprecedented financial crisis” within the next five years. He is a deep-thinker worthy your attention.

The post This was all predicted 10 years ago (by Peter Turchin) first appeared on Today’s top gold news and opinion.

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Gold

Northern Vertex Mining and Eclipse Gold Mining to Combine to Create New Western US Gold Producer, Announce C$20 Million Financing – PRNewswire

  1. Northern Vertex Mining and Eclipse Gold Mining to Combine to Create New Western US Gold Producer, Announce C$20 Million Financing  PRNewswire
  2. Northern Vertex Mining, Eclipse Gold Mining To Combine – Quick Facts  Nasdaq
  3. Northern Vertex and Eclipse Gold in C$184M at-market merger  www.mining-journal.com
  4. Northern Vertex and Eclipse Gold merge to create new gold producer in Western U.S.  Kitco NEWS
  5. View Full Coverage on Google News
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Gold

Zimbabwe: Losing millions from illicit gold mining trade – The Africa Report

Zimbabwe: Losing millions from illicit gold mining trade  The Africa Report
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Gold

Pure Gold Mining says underground exploration drilling has intersected high-grade gold mineralization near the existing main ramp access – Proactive Investors USA & Canada

Pure Gold Mining says underground exploration drilling has intersected high-grade gold mineralization near the existing main ramp access  Proactive Investors USA & Canada
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Gold

Gold price to return to $2000 in just a couple of months – Standard Chartered – Kitco NEWS

Gold price to return to $2000 in just a couple of months – Standard Chartered  Kitco NEWS
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Gold

Good price gains for gold, silver on safe-haven and technical buying – Kitco NEWS

Good price gains for gold, silver on safe-haven and technical buying  Kitco NEWS
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Gold

Bitcoin is challenging gold: Gold price outlook is ‘no longer overwhelmingly bullish,’ says UOB – Kitco NEWS

Bitcoin is challenging gold: Gold price outlook is ‘no longer overwhelmingly bullish,’ says UOB  Kitco NEWS
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Gold

All-in gold doesn’t make sense; silver, oil are the real winners – Phil Streible – Kitco NEWS

All-in gold doesn’t make sense; silver, oil are the real winners – Phil Streible  Kitco NEWS
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Gold

What Happens When Confidence Falls Apart?

There are intriguing interconnections between the election, the virus, and the markets.

While we may never know how deep and wide the political elites’ effort to gain control over our government goes, it appears to be vast. Although it’s still unknown whether fraud altered the overall election outcome, the evidence of fraud is real.

Corrupt poll workers and election officials have been identified in numerous locations along with voting machine “glitches.” Some judges seem to be ignoring evidence while affirming Joe Biden’s victory.

All the while, the corporate media plus the major social media platforms are working overtime to convince people the “evidence of widespread fraud doesn’t exist.”

Some of this year’s election shenanigans involves mail-in ballots. The huge increase in absentee voting provided lots of opportunities to cheat.

The implications are troubling.

Election officials would never have been able to push through the enormous increase in absentee voting without the COVID-19 pandemic as cover. Nor would they have been able justify moving poll watchers behind barricades too far away to properly observe.

The pandemic proved convenient for the deep state and statists who have a long history of using fear as a tool.

Another oddity is the euphoric activity in the financial markets since after the advent of the virus. It has been hard to make sense of surging stock prices, given the economic devastation associated with lockdowns.

Money Printing

We know that Wall Street bankers have been the beneficiaries of trillions of dollars of Fed largesse and that they are experts at manipulating markets.

Rising stock prices are a nice complement to the media story about Biden winning the election. If Biden is good for markets, he must be good for America.

Narrative control is one context where otherwise incomprehensible stock market action DOES make sense. But what happens if the narrative falls apart?

The deep state may be losing control. If they counted on blind trust in the election system and the media to censor anyone questioning Biden’s legitimacy, they were wrong.

Tens of millions of Americans likely won’t accept Biden regardless of whether he gets inaugurated in January.

If a smooth transfer of power doesn’t happen, investors should be ready for some real turbulence in the markets.

Regardless of who winds up in the oval office, Americans are unlikely to agree on his legitimacy. A lack of consensus on an issue as foundational as which person is in charge of the executive branch is something modern markets have never contended with.

It is just the sort of pin that may eventually prick the bubble in the equity and bond markets. Wise investors are diversifying out of paper assets denominated in U.S. dollars.

       
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Gold

Inflation Eats Up Social Security Benefits

A lot of people have a vague sense that too much inflation might be a bad thing. But in a world where central banks and governments promote and implement policies intended to increase inflation by 2% annually, most people don’t seem to really understand just how much inflation erodes their purchasing power over time. After […]