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Investor anxiety mounts over prospect of stock market ‘bubble’

Financial Times/Katie Martin

Repost from 1-27-2021

grpahic image antique of frog“Screaming stock rallies and wild speculation by have-a-go amateur investors are stirring concerns among market veterans over a bubble to rival anything seen in the past century.”

USAGOLD note:  Money managers, no doubt, are being asked in droves:  “How do we hedge it?” One thing to keep in mind is that it’s not only the market that could break down but the brokerage firms that service it – in which case the investor in many instances is at the mercy of the web portal housing his or her accounts even if one’s advisor is able to structure some sort of derivative solution. The best way to hedge the system is not with more of the system’s paraphernalia, but with something that stands outside it – purchased preferably far in advance of the bubble bursting. First and foremost, do not allow yourself to be grouped without hope of a better result among Klarman’s frogs.

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In case you’re wondering. . .

. . . just how much individual families will receive from the recently passed $1.9 trillion COVID stimulus bill, here is what a married couple earning $150,000 with 2 children will receiv:

  • Six checks at $1,400 each: $8,400;
  • Two childcare credits at $3,600 each: $7,200;
  • Two child credits at $3,000 each: $6,000;
  • Total walking around money: $21,600

Note that a couple making $150,000 a year puts them in the top 15% of households.  The couple did not have to suffer any loss of income to receive the $21,600.  As for the balance of the $1.9 trillion bill, it will go primarily into pork barrel spending, such as bailing out blue states.

Further, The Economist recently ran an article estimating that “the world’s consumers” have an extra $3 trillion, which they saved during the COVID lockdowns.  Had the pandemic not happened, The Economist estimates households would probably have stashed away $3 trillion in the first nine months of 2020. In fact, they saved $6 trillion.

So, how will these funds, “an extra $3 trillion,” be spent, along with the $925 billion the COVID stimulus bill is handing out.  And what if consumers spend more than the “extra $3 trillion?”  What if they dip into the $6 trillion they saved?

If these guesstimates are any where near accurate, there will be a lot of spending ahead.  Consumer goods, autos, new homes, and stocks.  And with all this spending, how can inflation be held back?  Certainly, inflation will over shoot the Fed’s target of 2%.

This is perfect financial climate to invest in gold and silver.

The post In case you’re wondering. . . first appeared on CMI Gold & Silver.

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