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Is Silver Set to Go Up or Down in 2022? Analysts Weigh In

Silver might draw less attention than gold, its precious metals counterpart. Yet that doesn’t diminish its status as one of the four primary precious metals. Therefore, anyone interested in precious metals should pay attention to the movement of silver prices.

Analysts offer various predictions about where the price of silver could head in 2022. Here is a collection of those forecasts.

Market Analyst Chris Vermeulen

Silver at $33.50–$36/oz.

Chris Vermeulen has been an internationally recognized market technical analyst and trader since 1997. He focuses on educating individuals on stocks, ETFs, precious metals, and energy.

In December, Vermeulen wrote that silver “is extremely undervalued” compared with gold. He believes the price of silver could soar 60%, driven mainly by fears about U.S. and global markets. “Initially, I expect a 50 to 60% rally in silver, targeting the $33.50 to $36.00 price level,” he explained.

“Silver often reacts more aggressively at times of great fear or uncertainty in the global markets,” Vermeulen wrote, “and often rises much faster than [gold] in percentage terms when fear peaks.”

JPMorgan Chase Analysts

Silver at $20.48/oz.

Analysts at JPMorgan Chase are relatively bearish on silver prices in 2022. They predict an average price of $20.48/oz. this year, according to Kitco.

“An unwinding in ultra-accommodative central bank policy will be most outright bearish for gold and silver over the course of 2022,” says JPMorgan.

World Bank

Silver at $22/oz.

The World Bank believes the price of silver could be $22/oz. in 2022, according to Knoema.

“Near-term prospects for silver largely rest on the strength of the global economic recovery, which is being tempered by a resurgence of COVID infections, particularly in Europe and the United States,” notes the World Bank.

FocusEconomics

Silver at $22.70/oz.

A panel of experts polled by FocusEconomics envisions the price of silver averaging $22.70/oz. in 2022, according to Investment News Network.

Expectations for a hike in U.S. interest rates this year have “dramatically taken the shine off silver demand and consequently sent prices lower,” says Steven Burke, an economist with FocusEconomics.

Capital.com Roundup

Silver at $22–$25/oz.

In a Capital.com roundup of forecasts from analysts at four firms, the price of silver in 2022 is expected to range from $22 to $25/oz.

“Silver is used in a range of industrial applications, from solar panels, electronics, and electric vehicles to medical devices, water purifiers, and wood preservatives,” Capital.com points out. “With industrial consumption accounting for around half of the world’s annual silver demand, industrial activity has an impact on silver prices.”

However, Capital.com adds, industrial activity has not expanded enough to keep pace with an oversupply in silver production.

On the contrary, The Silver Institute is projecting a supply deficit for silver in 2022, thanks to more industrial demand and global decarbonization efforts, according to Kitco.

Coin Price Forecast

Silver at $25.60/oz.

Coin Price Forecast expects the price of silver to be $25.60/oz. at the end of 2022, $30/oz. by the end of 2023, and then $40/oz. by the middle of 2025. Fast-forward to 2033, and Coin Price Forecast anticipates an astounding silver price of $90/oz.

Commerzbank Commodity Analyst Carsten Fritsch

Silver at $26/oz.

Commerzbank commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch foresees silver reaching a price of $26/oz. in 2022.

“Silver would thus also make up some ground against gold. This is not unusual, as silver normally follows gold’s price movements disproportionately,” said Fritsch, according to Kitco.

Kitco Survey

Silver to Shine Like Gold?

A survey by Kitco, which reports news about precious metals, found that asset holders are split in terms of whether silver (32.1%) or gold (32.7%) would be the top-performing metal in 2022.

Kitco notes that silver ended 2021 with an overall price decrease of 11.5%. That was the metal’s sharpest price decline since 2014. On December 31, 2021, the closing price of silver stood at $23.17/oz. That price decrease may very well be an anomaly, though.

The price of silver has increased 34% over the last five years and 381% over the previous 20 years.

Call U.S. Money Reserve when you’re ready to buy silver. Our silver inventory is 100% government-issued and guaranteed for its silver content.

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Silver

And Forever Hold Your Peace

murphy metal monday

Fundamentals confirm that rising consumer prices will lead to rising interest rates. But the signals from central banks suggest that they will only raise them less than might be expected to compensate currency holders for loss of purchasing power. This is a repeat of the conditions that drove gold up from $35 to over $800 in the 1970s.
-Alasdair Macleod / London banker
The upside potential for gold is multiples of the current price, especially since the currency debasement will accelerate as money printing accelerates.Gold is the king of wealth preservation and should be held in physical form outside the banking system.
-Egon von Greyerz / Matterhorn Asset Management

Gold and silver have been trading sideways to lower for 16 months now and I’m noticing a greater number of investors (and potential investors) in gold and silver are discouraged. After all, it seems everyone is making big money in selected stocks, crypto’s and real estate, so why bother with precious metals when they can’t even go up with inflation ramping higher? Of course, I’m being facetious when posing this question and in reality, I’m extra bullish on the precious metals at the moment. Why? Well, partly because the public is not excited about gold and silver currently, and in fact I’ve noticed some clients selling their metal to put everything in other assets that are “high flying” and volatile. Historically speaking, this type of public attitude is often associated with markets (in this case gold and silver) about to rise significantly and in long duration.

And speaking of history, today is a great time to see what the markets did in the 1970’s, since today’s inflation and economy seem to be following a similar pattern. Rick Rule of Sprott USA pointed out recently there was a lag in the earlier 70’s between inflation rising and the gold market responding. It wasn’t until the pubic became truly fearful of inflation that gold made its move from $35oz to $875oz over a ten-year period.

Also, Bloomberg had the following to say this weekend, “For those who think gold missed the inflation train, there are several reasons to reconsider. There have only been two other inflationary periods in the last 50 years. The first was in the seventies, the second from 2003 to 2008. In each of these inflationary periods, gold underperformed commodities in the first half and outperformed in the second half. It seems that markets don’t take inflation (or gold) seriously until it proves to be intractable.”

Along this same line of thinking, seasoned veteran Adam Hamilton of Zeal Research, expressed the following views, “Gold is lagging the raging inflation unleashed by the Fed’s epic money printing. Despite leading inflation benchmarks skyrocketing to multi- decade highs, gold prices have barely budged. Serious inflation initially fuels record-high stock markets, which stunt gold investment demand. But festering inflation increasingly erodes corporate earnings, hitting stock prices. As stock markets roll over, gold will start reflecting this inflation.”

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Hamilton was also quick to point out that, “Runaway inflation is increasingly plaguing the United States, as evident in this week’s major economic releases. The December Consumer Price Index headline number came in up 7.0% year-over-year, its hottest print since June 1982! That’s a 39.5-year high, despite the CPI being intentionally lowballed by the government to mask inflation. Fast-rising general prices slash standards of living, and this is just beginning to anger the American voters. The Fed has effectively more than doubled the US-dollar monetary base! Such extreme excess is wildly-unprecedented.”

In conclusion, Hamilton says, “The bottom line is gold is only lagging inflation temporarily. Fed-levitated record-high stock markets have retarded gold investment demand, while the yellow metal consolidated high after massive mid-2020 gains. But this serious inflation will increasingly erode corporate earnings, forcing bubble-valued stock prices much lower. And gold is nearing a major forced breakout from a gigantic bullish technical chart formation. So gold prices should soon start reflecting this raging inflation unleashed by the Fed’s extreme monetary excesses. Gold soared by multiples during the last serious-inflation bouts in the 1970s as stock investors diversified into it. And since the Fed can’t hike rates high enough to fight today’s inflation without crashing these bubble-valued stock markets, high-and-rising prices are likely to continue festering for years to come.”

From a historical standpoint and fundamental supply/demand standpoint and technical standpoint, gold and silver have every reason to rise dramatically from current levels. And speaking of technical evaluation, below is the gold chart Hamilton described as “gigantic and bullish”, and a long-term silver chart as well. The gold chart shows a massive “cup and handle” formation, which gets more and more bullish each day it builds, and projects a price of $2,700oz.

15 year gold chart cup and handle

The silver chart reveals its price at the bottom of a range. As you can see, each time silver breaks out of this consolidation pattern, the price advance higher is fast and furious. And finally, knowing that gold and silver prices have been artificially held down for many years, now is the time to own these precious metals, while the downside risk is limited and the upside is “off the charts.”

15 year silver chart

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Silver

SilverCrest Metals: An Emerging Producer At A Very Reasonable Price – Seeking Alpha

“”silver price”” – Google News

SilverCrest Metals: An Emerging Producer At A Very Reasonable Price  Seeking Alpha

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Silver

South Africa’s mining sector up 5.2% in November on strong PGMs and iron ore production – report

Kitco News

(Kitco News) – According to Statistics South Africa, the domestic mining production increased by 5.2% year-on-year in November 2021.

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UK, Spain, Singapore to crack down on ‘misleading’ crypto ads as prices remain under pressure

Kitco News

(Kitco News) – Britain, Spain and Singapore target crypto advertising as authorities try to rein in investor risk.

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Canada’s natural resources sector rises in Q3 2021, surpassing pre-pandemic levels – StatCan

Kitco News

(Kitco News) – According to Statistics Canada (StatCan), real gross domestic product (GDP) of the natural resources sector rose 2.9% in the third quarter of 2021, surpassing pre-pandemic levels and recovering from the 11.1% drop in the second quarter of 2020.

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Rio Tinto reports iron ore, copper production down in 2021 as operating conditions remained challenging

Kitco News

(Kitco News) – Rio Tinto reported today that its Pilbara iron ore production of 319.7 million tonnes in 2021 was 4% lower than 2020, mainly due to above average rainfall in the first half of the year, cultural heritage management and delays in growth and brownfield mine replacement tie-in projects.

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Silver

Smelter Shutdowns: Europe’s Smelters Call for Action to Combat Soaring Energy Costs

Smelter Shutdowns: Europe’s Smelters Call for Action to Combat Soaring Energy Costs

SilverSeek
Tue, 01/18/2022 – 10:00

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Silver

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD spikes to more than two-month highs above $23.50 after week US data – FXStreet

  1. Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD spikes to more than two-month highs above $23.50 after week US data  FXStreet
  2. Silver price 2022: Here’s how silver can outperform gold as it plays catch-up next year  Kitco NEWS
  3. Silver Price Prediction: Here’s What to Expect After Strong Chinese Data  InvestingCube
  4. Silver Price Prediction – Prices Rebound on Softer JOLTS Report  FX Empire
  5. Silver Price Forecast – Silver Markets Get Crushed on Thursday  Yahoo Finance
  6. View Full Coverage on Google News
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Gold

‘This country is getting angry when they go to the supermarket’

CNBC/Matthew J. Belvedere/1-14-2022

“Discontent over skyrocketing inflation is the most important issue for voters heading into this year’s midterm election, and Democrats are going to pay the price, according to Frank Luntz, a longtime GOP pollster and strategist.”

USAGOLD note: The tentacles of a failed monetary policy run deep and grocery prices are only one manifestation of the problem. How long until economists begin talking about an inflation trap, i.e., a Fed that wants to raise rates but can’t do so aggressively without trashing the stock, bond, and real estate markets?

cartoon showing couple talking about soaring inflationCartoon courtesy of MichaelPRamirez.com

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