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Silver

China & Russia Own HOW Much Gold?

murphy metal monday

As mentioned in my prior weekly emails, gold and silver appear to have put in short term bottoms. Physical demand for both metals continues to surge, as supplies and inventories continue to wane.

Yes, the paper gold and silver prices via the NY Commodity Exchange, continue to drift sideways to lower, which in turn causes the average Joe on the street to lose interest. But, by knowing the bullion banks have manipulated the prices lower, and by knowing that many of the biggest price surges occur after a sustained period of weak bullish sentiment, the precious metals are due for a surge. This especially holds true as the bullion banks have reduced their net paper short position to an extreme and the “speculators” have built up a net short position, also to an extreme. The biggest key is, will the bullion banks go into “paper selling mode” again after gold rallies a few hundred dollars? The consensus is a resounding NO!

Why?

  1. Because in the short run the Bank of International Settlements (BIS) has reduced their gold selling/leasing to almost zero.
  2. New BIS regulations make it much more costly for the bullion banks to manipulate the paper prices lower.
  3. Yet another contingent of JP Morgan bullion traders were just convicted of manipulating precious metal prices lower.
  4. And finally, throw in the longer-term big picture which includes massive inflation and a world in disarray.

This weekend, Alasdair Macleod of GoldMoney.com [1], put out a great piece on gold. I often refer to Macleod’s analysis because not only is he a brilliant economist, but also has a deep understanding of what makes the gold and silver markets tick. So, here are some of Macleod’s recent observations:

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While we are being distracted by Ukraine, President Putin has advanced his geopolitical goals materially. Aided and abetted by President Xi, Putin is taking the Asian continent into his control. That mission is well on its way to being achieved. He now awaits the winter months to finally force the EU to reject America’s hegemony. Only then, will the western end of the Eurasian continent be truly free of American interference. This article explains how he is achieving his strategic goals. It examines the geopolitics of the Asian landmass and the nations tied to it, which are commercially and financially turning their backs on the US-led western alliance.

Putin is determined to remove the American threat to his Western borders by squeezing the EU to that end. But he is also building political relationships based on control of global fossil-fuel supplies — a pathway opened for him by American and European obsessions over climate change. In partnership with China, the consolidation of his power over the Eurasian landmass has progressed rapidly in recent weeks.For the Western Alliance, financially and economically his timing is particularly awkward, coinciding with the end of a 40-year period of declining interest rates, rising consumer price inflation, and a deepening recession driven by contracting bank credit. It is the continuation of a financial war by other means, and it looks like Putin has an unbeatable hand. He is on course to push our fragile fiat currency based financial system over the edge.

And finally, as insurance against a widespread fiat currency catastrophe, both Russia and China have stockpiled physical bullion. Russia is known to have about 12,000 tonnes. It mines 330 tonnes annually, which it is now adding to its hoard. Having accumulated the bulk of its hoard before permitting the Chinese public to buy gold, China’s state probably has over 30,000 tonnes, of which only 1,776 tonnes are declared official reserves. Therefore, the Russian and Chinese states between them command over 40,000 tonnes, which compares with America’s reserves, officially listed as 8,133 tonnes. As nations, they are also the two largest gold miners by output.

There can be no doubt that both China and Russia have a better understanding than western central banks of the relationship between money, which legally and in actuality is gold, and credit. They can only have built their reserves and mining capacity in anticipation that their currencies will need, one day, protection from a fiat currency crisis. First it was China, which accumulated most of her stash during the 1980-2002 bear market at prices as low as $275, before letting her citizens buy gold. With Russia, the accumulation has been more recent, undoubtedly seen by Putin as an essential part of his geopolitical ambitions. Both countries have concealed their true gold position, presumably so as to not threaten the dollar’s hegemony directly and to allow them to secretly add to their hoards. In the event of a fiat currency crisis for the dollar, both the rouble and yuan have more monetary projection backing them than in any of the currencies of their adversaries. There can be little doubt that Putin will do whatever it takes to protect Russia, the rouble, and his geostrategic plans from any crisis which might envelop the West.

It’s human nature to look away when market prices and excitement levels are relatively low. During these times, one might question the validity of gold and silver as insurance or an investment. But then, all you must do is ask yourself why…

  • Why has China and Russia accumulated such massive gold reserves?
  • Why are other Central Banks worldwide following in line?
  • Why are many of the biggest players on Wall St also loading up on physical gold?

One would have to be brain dead not to be concerned about this country’s massive debt and inflation, and the overall state of our inherently weak economy. And even the Fed cannot prevent the bigger financial storm coming our way.

The final big question is: Have you done everything possible to prepare and protect yourselves?

Categories
Silver

Are silver miners turning a corner on carbon… – BNamericas English

Are silver miners turning a corner on carbon…  BNamericas English
Categories
Silver

Silver X Mining To Settle Royalty Debt – Junior Mining Network

Silver X Mining To Settle Royalty Debt  Junior Mining Network
Categories
Silver

Why Silver Went down When It Should Have Gone Up

Why Silver Went down When It Should Have Gone Up

Two weeks ago, it looked to me like silver was about to take off, following months of sharp price declines, yet we experienced the worst selloff in a couple of years.  Most puzzling was the cause of the sharp price declines.

Ted Butler
Mon, 08/22/2022 – 14:52

Categories
Gold

How to protect your wealth as inflation hits new record highs

MoneyWeek/Dominic Frisby/8-17-2022

“Inflation in the UK has just hit 10.1%, says the Office for National Statistics. That is five times the Bank of England’s stated target of 2%. FIVE TIMES! Sorry to shout. The joy of the public sector is that you can be this bad at your job and still keep it.”

USAGOLD note: A quick look down the roster of nations shows that most, including the United States, are nursing lending rates far below the inflation rate. Only China and, surprisingly, Brazil have their base lending rate above the inflation rate. Frisby’s conclusion? “The most obvious asset to own in all of this is gold.”

table showing inflation and lending rates leading nations states August 2022Table courtesy of TradingEconomics.com

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Gold

Expect the next bear-market downturn soon as traders underestimate inflation

Bloomberg/ Mark Cudmore/8-17-2022

cartoon image of airborne money bags“My underlying thesis since last year has been that we’re in an unprecedented inflation-regime shift. Such levels of inflation have been seen before (more than 40 years ago), but never in such a direct and speedy transition from decades of low inflation. So the market will continuously underestimate and underappreciate the scale of the problem. As part of that, I have regularly argued that front-end yields need to go significantly higher still. And, importantly, there’s no risk of a Fed put and it doesn’t matter when inflation peaks, but how sticky it is.”

USAGOLD note: To paraphrase a famous comment, paradigm shifts can only be recognized in retrospect. If we are in a new and unprecedented inflation regime, as Cudmore theorizes, Wall Street has yet to recognize it choosing to believe instead that somehow the Fed is going to keep a lid on it.

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Categories
Gold

A Mega-Merger Has Left Some Gold Miners Fearing for Their Safety – Mother Jones – Mother Jones

A Mega-Merger Has Left Some Gold Miners Fearing for Their Safety – Mother Jones  Mother Jones
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Gold

Respirators for use in gold mining & processing – Australian Mining

Respirators for use in gold mining & processing  Australian Mining
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Gold

Mining stakeholders digging in to combat illegal gold mining – BNamericas English

Mining stakeholders digging in to combat illegal gold mining  BNamericas English
Categories
Gold

Zijin restarting production at Colombia gold mine after blockade – Reuters

Zijin restarting production at Colombia gold mine after blockade  Reuters