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Gold

Welcome to ‘Peak Decade,’ from globalization to central banks

DAVOS WATCH

Bloomberg/Enda Curran/1-18-2020

photo of Klaus Schwab founder of the World Economic Forum held in Davos Switzerland annually“Strategists at Bank of America Corp. are already telling clients to brace for a ‘ground-breaking ‘peak decade’ that will disrupt business and investing.”

USAGOLD note: This year’s Davos theme, as suggested in the headline above, is likely to elicit some interesting commentary and analysis from the participants.  We will track the conference here – as we have the last two years – and invite you to stay tuned.  The meeting begins today and runs through Friday, January 24th.

Related: Trump to mingle with elites in Davos/Bloomberg/Josh Wingrove/1-19-2020


Image courtesy of World Economic Forum [CC BY-SA (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/)]; Klaus Schwab Founder and Executive Chairman of the World Economic Forum.

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Gold

Three reasons Ray Dalio’s hedge fund is betting on a 30% gold price surge

CCN/Josiah Wilmoth/1-15-2020

graphic image simulating a bumper sticker reads "2020 presidential election"“Wall Street bought the rumor on President Donald Trump’s ‘phase one’ trade deal with China, but the world’s largest hedge fund says that investors should be prepared to sell the news and park their cash in the next asset primed for a surge – gold.”

USAGOLD note:  Wilmoth identifies three catalysts for Bridgewater’s forecast gold is going to $2000 – 30% higher than current prices: (1) a permanent shift in Fed monetary policy; (2) ‘boiling conflict’ in China and Iran; (3) political turmoil in the United States. Still early in the election cycle, many overlook political turmoil with respect to its effect on the price of gold.

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Gold

Are gold prices close to a top? Heraeus weighs in – Kitco NEWS

Are gold prices close to a top? Heraeus weighs in  Kitco NEWS
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Gold

Gold at $1600 is the ‘bare minimum’ for 2020 — Goldex CEO – Kitco NEWS

Gold at $1600 is the ‘bare minimum’ for 2020 — Goldex CEO  Kitco NEWS
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Gold

Gold gains on heightened safe-haven interest; palladium soars – Kitco NEWS

Gold gains on heightened safe-haven interest; palladium soars  Kitco NEWS
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Gold

Gold Price Analysis: Violates key hurdle to hit 9-day high – FXStreet

Gold Price Analysis: Violates key hurdle to hit 9-day high  FXStreet
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Gold

Gold Price News and Forecast: Gold at an inflexion point, trading at extremes according to the COT report – FXStreet

Gold Price News and Forecast: Gold at an inflexion point, trading at extremes according to the COT report  FXStreet
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Gold

Former Fed Official Says Government Can Borrow a LOT More

Narayana Kocherlakota, the former President of the Federal Reserve bank of Minneapolis wants you to know the Federal Government can never borrow too much money.

Our government already borrowed $23 trillion and deficits are expected to exceed $1 trillion per year. He knows many Americans feel anxious about the federal government going bankrupt, and he has a simple solution.

He just wrote the following in an editorial published by Bloomberg:

Policy makers and voters often express concern about the level of the federal deficit, which topped $1 trillion last year, and the national debt, now more than $23 trillion. But, unlike a household that owes money to a bank, the U.S. government has the ability to tax its creditors. This power means that the federal government can afford any level of debt that is owed to American taxpayers.

There you have it. Government can tax Americans for whatever is needed.

The solution is so simple any dim-wit could have come up with it. As a matter of fact, one did…

Rip Off

Federal Reserve bankers have always received unnatural reverence for their wisdom and piety. It’s refreshing when one of them puts their patently stupid, indeed evil, ideas on public display.

The people running our central bank come from the same stock as the liars, schemers, and sociopaths who run the Federal Government and Wall Street. The sooner Americans figure that out, the better.

Toward that end, we have some follow up questions for Kocherlakota:

Have you considered the track record of nations that borrowed and spent without restraint? We can find lots of examples of nations that collapsed when leaders like you arrogantly assumed they could get away with borrowing, spending – and taxing – in confidence destroying amounts.

What do you expect will happen to the Treasury market when your tax is imposed on creditors? Do you expect them to continue lining up after they discover they must both lend money and then bear the cost of its repayment too?

What if creditors – the people who buy Treasuries – tend to be better politically connected than people who don’t buy treasuries? Will politicians really impose a massive tax on these people? Or is it possible they will stick it to the poor and middle class instead when they get cornered and have to raise taxes?

Inflation Tax

Of course, Kocherlakota is well aware his cabal of central bankers and politicians is already taxing Americans heavily and lying about it. The tax is called inflation, and it is severely underreported.

The Federal Reserve is printing money to buy federal debt. Officials there pushed interest rates to epic lows and kept them near there for most of a decade. As a consequence, the Federal Reserve Notes Americans saved are worth a lot less.

The purchasing power was transferred to Washington and Wall Street, the recipients of all the monetary stimulus. The effect is exactly like income tax and the myriad other federal taxes people pay.

All that borrowed currency is fueling the massive expansion in government. Financial services gobble up an ever larger chunk of the nation’s GDP and wealth inequality just keeps getting bigger.

Kocherlakota published his “solution” for unlimited government borrowing in a misguided attempt to put people at ease. But have a look at the comment section below the editorial. Those who gave it a serious read were aghast, thank goodness.

       
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Gold

The Cannibalization Of The Financial System Will Force Investors Into Silver

By looking at the symptoms taking place in the financial system, we can see just how bad the situation is becoming. The chart below shows the amount of asset purchases the Federal Reserve has added to its balance sheet over the past four months versus the total value of all global above-ground silver stocks:

Increase in Fed Balance Sheet vs. total Value of Global Silver Stocks

I decided to compare the Fed’s balance sheet to silver rather than gold because I believe silver will be the GO TO ASSET once investors get PRECIOUS METALS RELIGION. Silver’s future price action or value will make Palladium’s current bubble look tame indeed. Unfortunately, Palladium’s value will crash once the global economy heads into a depression. Even though Palladium and Platinum are precious metals, the overwhelming majority of investment demand is in silver and gold. Palladium and Platinum’s value is based more on industrial demand rather than investment demand. KISS – Keep It Simple Stupid. Acquire the 2,000+ year history of money… gold and silver.

In the last four months, the Federal Reserve added $414 billion to its balance sheet. What a change compared to the $708 billion in assets the Fed sold back to the market (primary dealers) over a two-year period.

FRED: Assets: Total Assets

The Fed was selling an average of $118 billion of its assets every four months over the 2-year period. However, it purchased more than three times that rate of $414 billion in the past 4-month period.

Now, think about this. The Fed announced on October 15th that it would start purchasing $60 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries. The Fed has purchased at most, $240 billion in U.S. Treasuries in the 4-month period. But, the total increase in the Fed’s balance sheet is $414 billion, or $174 billion higher. So, it also has been slowly adding assets (liabilities) via its Repo Market operations. I call them liabilities because there is no real market for them. And, as time goes by, the world is going to watch as the majority of so-called ASSETS turn into LIABILITIES.

As I mentioned in previous articles, I believe the “FINANCIAL CRISIS” started on September 15th, when the Fed had to step in with emergency Repo Market Operations and has continued to do so. While the markets believe the Fed has fixed the problem, it’s only going to get worse. Why? Because the Thermodynamics of oil depletion doesn’t stop and the quality of oil (or net energy) that makes it to the market continues to decline.

Thus, The Federal Reserve increased the value of its balance sheet over the past 4-month period by nearly 10 times the value of all the global above-ground silver stocks:

Increase in Fed Balance Sheet vs. 9 Times Total Value of Global Silver Stocks

Based on a global value of available silver stocks (2.5 billion oz X $18 = $45 billion), the Fed’s balance sheet purchases of $414 billion are 9.2 times all the investment silver held in the world.

Investors do not understand this CRITICAL comparison… YET. But, they will in time.

       
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Gold

Bridgewater: Gold Could Push Above $2,000 as Fed Ignores Inflation

Peter Schiff has been saying the Federal Reserve is going to let the inflation monster loose and this is going to be good for gold. Some people in the mainstream are starting to pick up on this theme. During a recent interview with the Financial Times, Bridgewater Associates co-chief investment officer Greg Jensen said gold […]

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