Category: Silver

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Are Silver Prices Being Affected By Market Manipulation?  ETF Daily News

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Kitco News

(Kitco News) – Gold and silver prices are solidly higher in midday U.S. futures trading Thursday, on safe-haven demand.

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There is a common image in many people’s minds about what a person who owns or buys gold is like. They often picture a gold buyer as someone who is immensely rich—a member of the upper crust dressed to the nines, perhaps even adorned with a monocle and top hat.

Popular culture reinforces this idea. For instance, consider the James Bond villain Auric Goldfinger, a wealthy businessman who was maniacally obsessed with his own vast hoardings of gold. More benignly, millions of children grew up watching the wealthy cartoon character Scrooge McDuck dive into a vault of gold coins and swim around in them. These depictions aren’t entirely without basis.

There is truth to the idea that affluent people like gold.

Many billionaires own and prize gold. For example, Ray Dalio has made no secret of his affinity for the yellow metal. Mr. Dalio is reported to have a net worth of over $18 billion and runs one of the world’s largest hedge funds, Bridgewater Associates. In a recent interview with CNBC, Mr. Dalio declared, “Cash is trash” and furthermore endorsed gold, highlighting preferences by central banks: “They are going to hold gold. That is a reserve currency, and it has been a reserve currency for a thousand years.”

Ray Dalio is not alone among billionaires with these views. Bloomberg reported that Egyptian billionaire Naguib Sawiris placed half of his over five-billion-dollar net worth into gold mid-2018. Banker Lord Jacob Rothschild, of the famous Rothschild family, announced in 2016 that his family was moving their fortune out of the U.S. dollar and into gold and other currencies.

I could go on, but billionaires who own gold are not the whole story. The so-called elite aren’t the only people who want to purchase gold. Many people who own gold are not fabulously wealthy.

My years in the precious metals industry have shown me that gold buyers come from a variety of walks of life.

Gold buyers can be small business owners who are looking to protect their earnings or hardworking family members seeking to leave something behind for their children, perhaps both. I know from experience that there is not just one type of person who buys gold. A large number of Americans do.

Data backs this up. The results of a survey by the magazine Gold IRA Guide from October 2019 indicates that 12 percent of Americans own some form of gold. If the U.S. population is 329 million, as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau on January 1, then more than 29 million Americans own gold. It seems that gold’s appeal stretches far and wide.

The reasons for gold ownership have some common themes.

Even among such a large number of people, there may be some common motives for owning gold. Whether or not someone is a billionaire, they might see gold as a hedge against risk. Many experts have claimed over the years that gold could be a safe-haven asset that guards wealth in times of uncertainty.

Whether or not your net worth is a billion dollars, you can see merit in that idea.

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To help plan for your long-term financial well-being, you need to know what’s ahead, economically, politically, and otherwise. Some market analysts believe the U.S. is in for a recession. Others dismiss that belief as nonsense. Still others predict 2020 will be the most volatile year in history, with or without a recession.

What major political and economic events could have the most significant impact on gold prices in 2020 and likewise, your precious metals portfolio? Here, we dissect six of the scenarios.

1. Presidential Election

In November 2020, U.S. voters will go to the polls to pick a president. The choice boils down to the incumbent president, Donald Trump, or the Democratic nominee.

Before and after the presidential election, the price of gold could experience ups and downs. Changes in the price of gold could depend, for instance, on new economic proposals issued by the candidates or on the outcome of the election itself. These developments could send gold prices upward or downward, based on how the events are perceived in the broader market.

When discussing gold prices during the 2016 presidential election, we pointed out that historically, the price of gold slumps before an election and rallies after. Election 2020 could fall in line with that historical precedent.

2. Brexit

It looks like 2020 will be the year that the United Kingdom’s “Brexit” from the European Union finally happens. As of January 23, 2020, the Brexit bill completed its passage through the House Commons and the House of Lords and received royal sign-off. The U.K. will finalize its E.U. divorce on January 31. Barring unforeseen circumstances, the U.K.’s ties to the E.U. will be severed three-and-a-half years after U.K. voters approved a Brexit referendum.

Throughout this year, the U.K. and the E.U. will grapple with changes brought about by Brexit. For instance, a post-Brexit trade deal must be worked out.

How will Brexit impact gold prices? A delay in Brexit or disagreements over the post-Brexit structure could set off a hike in gold prices. But if everything goes smoothly with Brexit, gold prices could stay steady.

3. Interest Rates

When the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, it often bodes well for an uptick in gold prices. If the Fed trims interest rates further in 2020, this could trigger an increase in gold prices. But it remains to be seen whether the Fed will carry out additional rate reductions this year.

While it’s not always the case, the price of gold often goes up when interest rates go down. The opposite can be true when interest rates go up. So why does this happen? Lower interest rates can translate into less appeal for other asset types, whereas higher interest rates can result in a bigger attraction to other assets.

4. Trade

Although the U.S.’s trade relationship with China appears to be on the mend, there’s no guarantee that the relationship won’t turn sour again.

The truce between the U.S. and China—in the form of a “phase one” trade agreement signed in January 2020—promises to substantially de-escalate the trade war between the two global economic powers.

However, trade volatility could return if the U.S.-China deal falls apart. If that were to happen, jitters in the market as a whole could spur a rise in gold prices. However, a more favorable U.S.-China trade environment could mean flat or falling gold prices.

5. Geopolitical Uncertainty

U.S. tensions with Iran and Iraq have been on the rise recently, and there’s no telling when those tensions could flare up even more. Thousands of miles away, the unpredictability of future unrest in Hong Kong lingers. Then, of course, unpredictable global conflicts always loom, such as the nuclear threat still posed by North Korea.

When this sort of high-stakes global uncertainty hangs over the U.S. and the world, it can lead to a jump in gold prices. By the same token, relative calm can contribute to relatively stable gold prices.

6. Recession

Predictions of a recession in 2020 have tapered off in recent months, but what if a recession were to hit this year?

If we enter a recessionary period, demand for gold could likely intensify, spurring higher gold prices. During the 2007 to 2009 recession, the price of gold soared 24 percent amid a drop-off in the broader market. During that time, many asset holders turned to gold as a safe haven. If history repeats itself, a recession could very well prompt another rush to gold.

From market insight videos to free eBooks, we do our best at U.S. Money Reserve to keep you in the know about everything that’s happening in the world and explain how it impacts your world. Take note of these major events and turn to U.S. Money Reserve for the latest updates on changes in gold prices.

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